Economic Consequences of Incarceration: using observational data to deliver causality
Economic Consequences of Incarceration: using observational data to deliver causality
The slides below are the materials that I prepared for the Journal Club activity for the department of Criminology in the Max Planck Institute for the Study of Crime, Security and Law. I presented it on 21. Jan. 2026.
I used the Econometrica paper from Garin et al. (2025) to explain the causal inference techniques in economics to my colleagues, most of them are from psychology or criminology backgrounds.
References
Garin, Andrew, Dmitri Koustas, Carl McPherson, Samuel Norris, Matthew Pecenco, Evan K. Rose, Yotam Shem‐Tov, and Jeffrey Weaver. "The impact of incarceration on employment, earnings, and tax filing." Econometrica 93, no. 2 (2025): 503-538.
Imbens, Guido W. "Causal inference in the social sciences." Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application 11 (2024).
Norris, Samuel, Matthew Pecenco, and Jeffrey Weaver. "The effects of parental and sibling incarceration: Evidence from ohio." American Economic Review 111, no. 9 (2021): 2926-2963.
Rose, Evan K., and Yotam Shem-Tov. "How does incarceration affect reoffending? Estimating the dose-response function." Journal of Political Economy 129, no. 12 (2021): 3302-3356.